Share

Mesa vs Surprise Crime Comparison

Side-by-side crime rates, safety scores, and trends based on FBI data.

Full report: Mesa crime rate · Surprise crime rate

Moving from Mesa, AZ to Surprise, AZ?

The Moving Checklist Planner turns your move-in date into a dated checklist, packing inventory and budget — seven tabs for Google Sheets or Excel, $12 once.

Get the planner →

Is Mesa or Surprise Safer?

According to crimebycity.com's analysis of FBI data, Surprise is safer than Mesa (Safety Score 75/100 vs 42/100), with a total crime rate of 985 per 100,000 versus 1,948 for Mesa — 49% lower. Mesa has higher rates in 1 of 7 crime categories.

The biggest difference is in robbery, where Surprise has a 78% lower rate.

Note: Mesa is 3.1x larger by coverage, which can affect crime rate comparisons. Larger cities tend to report higher rates due to density and more comprehensive reporting.

Quiz: which of these is MORE DANGEROUS than Mesa, AZ?

Mesa — 5-Year Trend

Increasing Violent Decreasing Property Decreasing Total

Surprise — 5-Year Trend

Increasing Violent Decreasing Property Decreasing Total

Mesa, AZ

Mesa, AZ
Safety Score 42/100
Coverage 513,585
Total Crime Rate 1,947.9
Category Wins 1/7

Surprise, AZ

Surprise, AZ
Safety Score 75/100
Coverage 163,202
Total Crime Rate 984.7
Category Wins 6/7

Detailed Crime Rate Comparison

Crime Type Mesa Surprise Difference
Total Crime Rate 1,947.9 984.7 +963.2
Violent Crime Rate 483.3 109.1 +374.2
Murder Rate 2.7 7.4 -4.6
Rape Rate 44.2 16.5 +27.7
Robbery Rate 50.2 11.0 +39.2
Aggravated Assault Rate 385.5 74.1 +311.4
Property Crime Rate 1,464.6 875.6 +589.0
Burglary Rate 187.7 94.4 +93.3
Larceny-Theft Rate 1,078.5 682.0 +396.5
Motor Vehicle Theft Rate 198.4 99.3 +99.2

All rates per 100,000 residents. Source: FBI UCR.

Moving from Mesa, AZ to Surprise, AZ?

The Moving Checklist Planner turns your move-in date into a dated checklist, packing inventory and budget — seven tabs for Google Sheets or Excel, $12 once.

Get the planner →

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Mesa or Surprise safer?

Surprise is safer with a total crime rate of 985 per 100K vs 1,948 for Mesa — a 49% difference.

How do violent crime rates compare?

Mesa has a violent crime rate of 483.3 per 100K while Surprise has 109.1. Surprise has lower violent crime.

About Mesa, AZ

Mesa, Arizona, a sprawling Sonoran Desert city, is home to a significant proportion of the state's Mormon population, reflecting its early agricultural settlements. It's the most populous city in the East Valley, bordering Tempe to the west. With a safety score of 42/100 and a population coverage of 513,585, Mesa has a total crime rate of 1,947.9 per 100,000 residents.

About Surprise, AZ

Surprise, Arizona, once a small farming community founded in 1938, is now a rapidly growing city in the Sonoran Desert. Located northwest of Phoenix, it's home to a significant population of retirees and families. With a safety score of 75/100 and a population coverage of 163,202, Surprise has a total crime rate of 984.7 per 100,000 residents.

More Crime Rate Comparisons